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Red88
406332.8
367944.0
77504.2
Blue77
296613.6
589422.7
83699.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions954201502008877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.1
43.243.1
Auto17.8
Teleop12.8
End13.5
red by 21.3
22.70.7
22.222.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End17.0
Second
32.80.1
31.931.8
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End11.1
red by 19.1
2966
#24
13.60.7
13.113.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Third
7750
#23
4.20.1
3.43.3
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End2.5
blue by 4.9
8369
#19
9.10.7
8.69.3
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.1
End5.5