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Red151
147743.4
384759.5
324019.5
Blue120
461043.7
62447.6
615510.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410950150200250151120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.7
57.858.5
Auto14.8
Teleop19.6
End25.0
red by 11.9
624
#3
47.60.4
47.347.7
Auto14.6
Teleop8.2
End24.8
Second
43.40.7
41.742.5
Auto13.7
Teleop12.3
End17.4
blue by 0.3
43.70.4
43.443.8
Auto11.1
Teleop11.3
End21.3
Third
3240
#18
19.50.7
17.818.5
Auto6.5
Teleop6.7
End6.3
red by 9.1
6155
#32
10.40.4
10.110.5
Auto5.5
Teleop1.0
End3.8