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Red60
383421.6
541134.1
464119.6
Blue53
635716.6
278915.9
598619.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935301502006053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.5
35.134.6
Auto7.1
Teleop5.9
End21.1
red by 14.5
5986
#19
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto5.6
Teleop3.7
End10.3
Second
21.60.5
22.622.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End14.4
red by 4.9
6357
#15
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto7.4
Teleop4.2
End5.0
Third
4641
#13
19.60.5
20.620.1
Auto9.6
Teleop4.9
End5.1
red by 3.7
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto7.0
Teleop4.8
End4.1