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Red135
380238.9
543150.1
731920.8
Blue116
41928.1
617134.1
770411.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125440100150200250135116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.7
48.349.0
Auto18.4
Teleop14.9
End16.9
red by 16.0
34.11.5
32.634.1
Auto13.6
Teleop11.8
End8.6
Second
3802
#15
38.90.7
35.235.9
Auto16.5
Teleop15.8
End6.6
red by 27.6
7704
#29
11.31.5
9.811.3
Auto5.8
Teleop1.0
End4.4
Third
7319
#17
20.80.7
19.019.6
Auto6.9
Teleop3.3
End10.5
red by 12.7
4192
#28
8.11.5
6.68.1
Auto5.9
Teleop2.0
End0.2