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Red188
541448.4
667250.2
73219.0
Blue105
805535.4
335516.5
750623.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12873050100150200188105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.21.4
49.751.1
Auto13.8
Teleop12.5
End23.9
red by 14.8
8055
#10
35.40.1
35.035.1
Auto16.5
Teleop12.3
End6.6
Second
48.41.4
48.049.4
Auto15.8
Teleop7.6
End25.0
red by 25.2
7506
#22
23.20.1
21.221.2
Auto5.9
Teleop4.1
End13.3
Third
7321
#20
9.01.6
10.311.9
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End5.2
blue by 7.4
16.50.1
16.116.1
Auto7.2
Teleop3.0
End6.3