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Red167
189551.0
159948.5
428627.7
Blue58
34621.6
595725.5
202842.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144965020025030016758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.9
49.650.5
Auto13.2
Teleop10.1
End27.7
red by 8.6
2028
#17
42.40.8
43.242.4
Auto17.0
Teleop14.7
End10.7
Second
48.50.9
47.148.0
Auto14.0
Teleop15.4
End19.1
red by 23.0
25.50.8
26.325.5
Auto7.7
Teleop4.9
End12.9
Third
4286
#27
27.70.9
26.327.2
Auto11.1
Teleop-0.4
End17.0
red by 6.1
346
#35
21.60.8
22.421.6
Auto9.3
Teleop3.3
End9.0