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Red158
189551.0
159948.5
428627.7
Blue89
34621.6
595725.5
202842.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489205020025030015889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.7
50.551.2
Auto13.2
Teleop10.1
End27.7
red by 8.6
2028
#17
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto17.0
Teleop14.7
End10.7
Second
48.50.7
48.048.7
Auto14.0
Teleop15.4
End19.1
red by 23.0
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto7.7
Teleop4.9
End12.9
Third
4286
#27
27.70.7
27.227.8
Auto11.1
Teleop-0.4
End17.0
red by 6.1
346
#35
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto9.3
Teleop3.3
End9.0