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Red151
161057.3
210644.8
112326.4
Blue75
38435.0
126238.6
742925.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14610705020025030015175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.2
56.556.7
Auto15.3
Teleop26.4
End15.6
red by 18.7
38.60.6
39.238.6
Auto14.7
Teleop10.0
End13.9
Second
44.80.2
44.144.3
Auto16.1
Teleop12.3
End16.5
red by 9.8
384
#21
35.00.6
35.635.0
Auto16.5
Teleop6.1
End12.5
Third
1123
#32
26.40.2
25.725.9
Auto9.3
Teleop6.1
End11.0
red by 1.1
7429
#31
25.30.6
25.925.3
Auto11.3
Teleop2.4
End11.6