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Red188
580445.3
108653.3
152226.9
Blue184
189551.0
159948.5
428627.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13814350100200250188184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.7
52.953.5
Auto12.8
Teleop26.1
End14.5
red by 2.3
51.00.6
51.251.8
Auto13.2
Teleop10.1
End27.7
Second
45.30.8
44.745.5
Auto11.0
Teleop12.9
End21.3
blue by 3.2
48.50.6
48.749.3
Auto14.0
Teleop15.4
End19.1
Third
1522
#19
26.90.7
26.427.1
Auto5.9
Teleop0.1
End20.9
blue by 0.7
4286
#27
27.70.6
27.828.4
Auto11.1
Teleop-0.4
End17.0