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Red108
680230.9
97740.5
179317.7
Blue148
38435.0
126238.6
742925.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98107050150200250108148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#5
40.50.1
40.440.5
Auto18.3
Teleop7.2
End14.9
red by 1.9
38.61.2
37.138.3
Auto14.7
Teleop10.0
End13.9
Second
6802
#12
30.90.1
30.830.9
Auto12.0
Teleop5.9
End12.9
blue by 4.2
384
#21
35.01.2
33.534.7
Auto16.5
Teleop6.1
End12.5
Third
1793
#18
17.70.1
17.617.7
Auto8.3
Teleop5.4
End4.0
blue by 7.6
7429
#31
25.31.2
23.825.0
Auto11.3
Teleop2.4
End11.6