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Red136
580445.3
108653.3
152226.9
Blue154
189551.0
159948.5
428627.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14014550100200250136154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.2
53.553.7
Auto12.8
Teleop26.1
End14.5
red by 2.3
51.00.2
51.852.0
Auto13.2
Teleop10.1
End27.7
Second
45.30.2
45.545.7
Auto11.0
Teleop12.9
End21.3
blue by 3.2
48.50.2
49.349.5
Auto14.0
Teleop15.4
End19.1
Third
1522
#19
26.90.2
27.127.3
Auto5.9
Teleop0.1
End20.9
blue by 0.7
4286
#27
27.70.2
28.428.6
Auto11.1
Teleop-0.4
End17.0