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Red182
189539.4
447266.1
242127.2
Blue125
111132.1
688221.9
191525.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14477050100200250182125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.11.0
62.163.2
Auto15.1
Teleop25.4
End25.6
red by 34.0
1111
#13
32.10.7
31.432.1
Auto10.7
Teleop6.3
End15.1
Second
1895
#21
39.41.0
35.436.4
Auto10.7
Teleop5.0
End23.7
red by 13.8
1915
#15
25.60.7
24.925.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.5
End16.3
Third
2421
#27
27.21.0
23.224.2
Auto11.2
Teleop6.9
End9.0
red by 5.3
6882
#10
21.90.7
21.221.9
Auto8.6
Teleop2.2
End11.1