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Red156
83657.9
53942.9
62028.0
Blue148
409937.7
284931.7
171926.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15596050200250156148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
57.90.5
58.959.5
Auto21.3
Teleop18.1
End18.5
red by 20.2
4099
#14
37.70.8
36.937.7
Auto13.0
Teleop7.7
End17.0
Second
539
#3
42.90.5
44.044.5
Auto9.8
Teleop7.9
End25.2
red by 11.2
31.70.8
30.931.7
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End22.7
Third
620
#16
28.00.5
29.129.6
Auto14.6
Teleop5.7
End7.7
red by 1.5
1719
#20
26.50.8
25.726.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.1
End7.6