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Red123
83657.9
53942.9
62028.0
Blue98
409937.7
284931.7
171926.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1579905020025012398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
57.90.3
59.559.2
Auto21.3
Teleop18.1
End18.5
red by 20.2
4099
#14
37.70.0
37.737.7
Auto13.0
Teleop7.7
End17.0
Second
539
#3
42.90.3
44.544.2
Auto9.8
Teleop7.9
End25.2
red by 11.2
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End22.7
Third
620
#16
28.00.3
29.629.3
Auto14.6
Teleop5.7
End7.7
red by 1.5
1719
#20
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.1
End7.6