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Red207
189539.4
447266.1
242127.2
Blue81
83657.9
53942.9
62028.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361505010020025020781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.11.8
63.265.0
Auto15.1
Teleop25.4
End25.6
red by 8.2
836
#8
57.91.1
59.258.0
Auto21.3
Teleop18.1
End18.5
Second
1895
#21
39.41.8
36.438.3
Auto10.7
Teleop5.0
End23.7
blue by 3.5
539
#3
42.91.1
44.243.0
Auto9.8
Teleop7.9
End25.2
Third
2421
#27
27.21.8
24.226.0
Auto11.2
Teleop6.9
End9.0
blue by 0.9
620
#16
28.01.1
29.328.2
Auto14.6
Teleop5.7
End7.7