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Red148
189539.4
447266.1
242127.2
Blue123
83657.9
53942.9
62028.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144144100120160180200148123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.10.4
65.065.4
Auto15.1
Teleop25.4
End25.6
red by 8.2
836
#8
57.90.1
58.057.9
Auto21.3
Teleop18.1
End18.5
Second
1895
#21
39.40.4
38.338.7
Auto10.7
Teleop5.0
End23.7
blue by 3.5
539
#3
42.90.1
43.042.9
Auto9.8
Teleop7.9
End25.2
Third
2421
#27
27.20.4
26.026.5
Auto11.2
Teleop6.9
End9.0
blue by 0.9
620
#16
28.00.1
28.228.0
Auto14.6
Teleop5.7
End7.7