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Red32
468137.4
307026.7
241217.4
Blue137
293036.8
297652.4
491827.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8912905015020025032137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.2
38.637.4
Auto13.7
Teleop0.8
End22.9
blue by 15.1
52.40.6
50.350.9
Auto20.4
Teleop13.4
End18.6
Second
26.71.2
27.926.7
Auto7.5
Teleop5.8
End13.4
blue by 10.1
2930
#16
36.80.6
34.735.3
Auto12.4
Teleop9.5
End14.9
Third
2412
#22
17.41.2
18.517.4
Auto6.9
Teleop4.3
End6.2
blue by 10.3
4918
#14
27.70.6
25.626.2
Auto12.3
Teleop5.0
End10.3