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Red120
366356.5
408949.8
41044.9
Blue143
469217.3
592043.5
406134.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1289850150200120143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.50.2
56.456.6
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End19.9
red by 13.0
5920
#11
43.51.1
42.443.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.3
End21.5
Second
49.80.2
49.749.9
Auto12.6
Teleop10.7
End26.6
red by 15.6
4061
#13
34.21.1
33.134.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End13.1
Third
4104
#22
4.90.2
4.85.0
Auto0.7
Teleop1.2
End3.0
blue by 12.4
4692
#14
17.31.1
16.217.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End10.1