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Red134
366356.5
408949.8
41044.9
Blue85
469217.3
592043.5
406134.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1299905015020025013485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.50.2
56.656.4
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End19.9
red by 13.0
5920
#11
43.50.2
42.642.4
Auto9.7
Teleop12.3
End21.5
Second
49.80.2
50.049.7
Auto12.6
Teleop10.7
End26.6
red by 15.6
4061
#13
34.20.2
33.333.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End13.1
Third
4104
#22
4.90.2
5.14.8
Auto0.7
Teleop1.2
End3.0
blue by 12.4
4692
#14
17.30.2
16.416.2
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End10.1