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Red102
366356.5
408949.8
41044.9
Blue79
371146.4
281147.5
371221.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231335010015020010279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.50.3
56.656.3
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End19.9
red by 8.9
47.50.9
48.447.5
Auto15.0
Teleop16.6
End15.9
Second
49.80.3
49.949.6
Auto12.6
Teleop10.7
End26.6
red by 3.4
46.40.9
47.246.4
Auto12.5
Teleop4.4
End29.4
Third
4104
#22
4.90.3
5.04.7
Auto0.7
Teleop1.2
End3.0
blue by 16.3
3712
#18
21.20.9
22.121.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End10.8