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Red92
214743.3
159528.7
369319.4
Blue71
412526.8
451340.1
406020.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102100501502009271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#16
43.30.0
43.243.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.4
End22.7
red by 3.2
40.10.8
40.840.1
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End21.7
Second
28.70.0
28.628.6
Auto7.9
Teleop8.1
End12.7
red by 1.9
26.80.8
27.526.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.6
End11.0
Third
3693
#19
19.40.0
19.319.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End7.0
blue by 1.3
4060
#12
20.70.8
21.420.7
Auto8.0
Teleop7.7
End5.0