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Red114
366356.5
408949.8
41044.9
Blue99
371146.4
281147.5
371221.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231345010015020025011499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.50.1
56.756.6
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End19.9
red by 8.9
47.50.4
48.848.4
Auto15.0
Teleop16.6
End15.9
Second
49.80.1
50.049.9
Auto12.6
Teleop10.7
End26.6
red by 3.4
46.40.4
47.747.2
Auto12.5
Teleop4.4
End29.4
Third
4104
#22
4.90.1
5.15.0
Auto0.7
Teleop1.2
End3.0
blue by 16.3
3712
#18
21.20.4
22.522.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End10.8