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Red79
115325.5
596219.4
23819.6
Blue112
311720.2
404132.4
50117.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6765020408010012014079112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
25.50.2
24.024.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End10.3
blue by 6.9
32.41.1
28.829.9
Auto13.4
Teleop7.1
End12.0
Second
238
#25
19.60.2
18.018.2
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End10.1
blue by 0.7
20.21.1
16.617.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End6.9
Third
19.40.2
17.818.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End9.0
red by 2.4
501
#20
17.01.1
13.414.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End5.1