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Red98
115325.5
596219.4
23819.6
Blue146
311720.2
404132.4
50117.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677005010015020025098146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
25.51.4
24.125.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End10.3
blue by 6.9
32.42.6
29.932.4
Auto13.4
Teleop7.1
End12.0
Second
238
#25
19.61.4
18.219.6
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End10.1
blue by 0.7
20.22.6
17.720.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End6.9
Third
19.41.4
18.019.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End9.0
red by 2.4
501
#20
17.02.6
14.517.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End5.1