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Red196
603519.5
461335.8
743331.5
Blue150
643426.2
313232.9
598533.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96105050150200250300196150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto12.1
Teleop8.9
End14.9
red by 2.0
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto11.4
Teleop8.4
End14.1
Second
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto10.6
Teleop7.8
End13.1
blue by 1.4
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto11.1
Teleop8.1
End13.7
Third
6035
#15
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End8.1
blue by 6.7
6434
#10
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto8.8
Teleop6.5
End10.9