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Red168
603519.5
461335.8
743331.5
Blue142
564820.9
313232.9
598533.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9798406080120140160168142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto12.1
Teleop8.9
End14.9
red by 2.0
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto11.4
Teleop8.4
End14.1
Second
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto10.6
Teleop7.8
End13.1
blue by 1.4
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto11.1
Teleop8.1
End13.7
Third
6035
#15
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End8.1
blue by 1.4
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End8.7