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Red141
756121.6
477425.9
558425.9
Blue202
564820.9
313232.9
598533.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79101050150200250300141202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5584
#13
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto8.7
Teleop6.4
End10.8
blue by 7.9
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto11.4
Teleop8.4
End14.1
Second
4774
#11
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto8.7
Teleop6.4
End10.8
blue by 7.0
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto11.1
Teleop8.1
End13.7
Third
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto7.3
Teleop5.3
End9.0
red by 0.7
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End8.7