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Red80
478821.5
652424.8
77796.3
Blue30
92309.1
901212.5
71138.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61291002003004005006007008008030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.6
24.324.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End14.9
red by 12.3
12.50.0
12.512.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End7.2
Second
21.50.6
21.021.6
Auto9.6
Teleop5.0
End6.9
red by 12.4
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto4.9
Teleop2.1
End2.2
Third
7779
#12
6.30.6
5.86.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.5
End1.8
blue by 1.7
7113
#11
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End3.6