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Red51
478821.5
652424.8
77796.3
Blue29
92309.1
901212.5
71138.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64281002003004005006007005129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.1
24.924.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End14.9
red by 12.3
12.50.0
12.612.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End7.2
Second
21.50.1
21.621.5
Auto9.6
Teleop5.0
End6.9
red by 12.4
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto4.9
Teleop2.1
End2.2
Third
7779
#12
6.30.1
6.46.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.5
End1.8
blue by 1.7
7113
#11
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End3.6