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Red50
478821.5
652424.8
77796.3
Blue42
92309.1
901212.5
71138.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63262004006008005042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.0
24.524.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End14.9
red by 12.3
12.50.0
11.911.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End7.2
Second
21.50.0
21.221.1
Auto9.6
Teleop5.0
End6.9
red by 12.4
9.10.0
8.48.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.1
End2.2
Third
7779
#12
6.30.0
6.05.9
Auto2.1
Teleop2.5
End1.8
blue by 1.7
7113
#11
8.00.0
7.37.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End3.6