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Red89
478821.5
652424.8
77796.3
Blue46
916413.6
90659.9
861312.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613501002003004005006007008946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.1
24.424.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End14.9
red by 11.3
13.60.2
13.213.5
Auto7.4
Teleop1.2
End5.0
Second
21.50.1
21.121.2
Auto9.6
Teleop5.0
End6.9
red by 9.2
8613
#10
12.40.2
12.012.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End6.1
Third
7779
#12
6.30.1
5.96.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.5
End1.8
blue by 3.6
9.90.2
9.69.8
Auto4.8
Teleop1.3
End3.7