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Red221
16643.3
69475.6
46712.0
Blue199
854418.2
346713.2
8855.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155880200300400500221199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#17
75.60.0
75.675.6
Auto24.7
Teleop27.2
End23.6
red by 19.6
88
#5
55.90.0
55.955.9
Auto22.0
Teleop13.2
End20.7
Second
166
#10
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto16.7
Teleop5.0
End21.6
red by 25.0
8544
#16
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
Third
467
#8
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
blue by 1.2
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5