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Red64
808543.7
404132.4
151953.7
Blue146
346130.8
581313.3
206743.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15389020030040050064146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#12
53.70.0
53.753.7
Auto20.0
Teleop12.5
End21.2
red by 10.0
2067
#15
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto12.2
Teleop9.7
End21.9
Second
8085
#11
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto11.1
Teleop8.4
End24.2
red by 12.8
3461
#24
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto10.4
Teleop7.6
End12.8
Third
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto13.4
Teleop7.1
End12.0
red by 19.2
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End3.7