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Red76
854418.2
346713.2
8855.9
Blue188
216873.1
632853.8
226233.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83193030040050076188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#5
55.90.0
55.955.9
Auto22.0
Teleop13.2
End20.7
blue by 17.1
73.10.0
73.173.1
Auto21.2
Teleop26.7
End25.2
Second
8544
#16
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
blue by 35.5
53.80.0
53.853.8
Auto18.7
Teleop19.1
End16.0
Third
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
blue by 19.8
2262
#18
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto12.0
Teleop5.0
End16.0