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Red145
107313.1
19038.1
568754.7
Blue109
13133.1
581313.3
206743.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121970200300400500600145109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
54.70.0
54.754.7
Auto14.0
Teleop18.2
End22.5
red by 11.0
2067
#15
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto12.2
Teleop9.7
End21.9
Second
190
#22
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto14.3
Teleop3.5
End20.3
red by 4.9
131
#2
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.4
End4.2
Third
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End5.6
blue by 0.2
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End3.7