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Red223
16643.3
69475.6
46712.0
Blue149
151953.7
404132.4
808543.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145146100120160180200220223149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#17
75.60.0
75.675.6
Auto24.7
Teleop27.2
End23.6
red by 21.9
1519
#12
53.70.0
53.753.7
Auto20.0
Teleop12.5
End21.2
Second
166
#10
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto16.7
Teleop5.0
End21.6
blue by 0.4
8085
#11
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto11.1
Teleop8.4
End24.2
Third
467
#8
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
blue by 20.5
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto13.4
Teleop7.1
End12.0