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Red152
856718.2
346713.2
8855.9
Blue119
808543.7
404132.4
151953.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891530200300400500600152119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#5
55.90.0
55.955.9
Auto22.0
Teleop13.2
End20.7
red by 2.3
1519
#12
53.70.0
53.753.7
Auto20.0
Teleop12.5
End21.2
Second
8567
#23
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
blue by 25.4
8085
#11
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto11.1
Teleop8.4
End24.2
Third
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
blue by 19.3
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto13.4
Teleop7.1
End12.0