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Red87
568754.7
107313.1
15726.4
Blue235
16643.3
69475.6
46712.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98153020030040050060087235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
54.70.0
54.754.7
Auto14.0
Teleop18.2
End22.5
blue by 20.8
694
#17
75.60.0
75.675.6
Auto24.7
Teleop27.2
End23.6
Second
157
#21
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto11.5
Teleop9.0
End5.9
blue by 16.9
166
#10
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto16.7
Teleop5.0
End21.6
Third
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End5.6
red by 1.1
467
#8
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9