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Red196
417625.4
581313.3
8855.9
Blue94
676326.9
672350.5
15726.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104118020030040050019694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#5
55.90.0
55.955.9
Auto22.0
Teleop13.2
End20.7
red by 5.4
50.50.0
50.550.5
Auto11.6
Teleop10.4
End28.6
Second
4176
#23
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto8.6
Teleop6.3
End10.6
blue by 1.5
6763
#11
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End10.2
Third
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End3.7
blue by 13.1
157
#17
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto11.5
Teleop9.0
End5.9