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Red141
287731.8
404132.4
23819.6
Blue218
615332.2
854418.2
69475.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851490200400600800141218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto13.4
Teleop7.1
End12.0
blue by 43.1
694
#7
75.60.0
75.675.6
Auto24.7
Teleop27.2
End23.6
Second
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto6.9
Teleop13.0
End11.9
blue by 0.4
6153
#10
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto7.9
Teleop10.4
End13.9
Third
238
#13
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End10.1
red by 1.3
8544
#14
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6