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Red272
364775.7
4414105.6
442.3
Blue168
699561.0
330935.0
519967.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2601660100200300400272168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.60.5
104.9105.4
Auto27.3
Teleop56.0
End22.2
red by 38.1
5199
#12
67.50.0
66.566.5
Auto13.8
Teleop23.8
End30.0
Second
75.70.5
75.075.5
Auto22.8
Teleop30.5
End22.4
red by 14.7
61.00.1
59.759.8
Auto12.0
Teleop20.8
End28.1
Third
4
#18
42.30.5
41.642.0
Auto20.2
Teleop12.7
End9.3
red by 7.3
3309
#19
35.00.0
33.934.0
Auto17.3
Teleop7.0
End10.7