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Red293
364775.7
4414105.6
442.3
Blue208
699561.0
330935.0
519967.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2611660100200300400293208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.60.2
105.4105.6
Auto27.3
Teleop56.0
End22.2
red by 38.1
5199
#12
67.51.0
66.567.5
Auto13.8
Teleop23.8
End30.0
Second
75.70.2
75.575.7
Auto22.8
Teleop30.5
End22.4
red by 14.7
61.01.2
59.861.0
Auto12.0
Teleop20.8
End28.1
Third
4
#18
42.30.2
42.042.3
Auto20.2
Teleop12.7
End9.3
red by 7.3
3309
#19
35.01.0
34.035.0
Auto17.3
Teleop7.0
End10.7