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Red124
186841.3
213548.5
60593.4
Blue68
502629.3
84622.8
85225.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048605015020025030035040012468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.8
47.748.5
Auto14.6
Teleop11.9
End22.0
red by 19.3
5026
#17
29.30.3
29.629.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End18.2
Second
41.30.7
40.541.3
Auto11.9
Teleop11.0
End18.4
red by 15.4
852
#20
25.80.3
26.125.8
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End10.4
Third
6059
#16
3.40.8
2.63.4
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.1
End3.7
blue by 19.3
846
#9
22.80.3
23.122.8
Auto10.4
Teleop2.4
End10.0