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Red146
186841.3
213548.5
60593.4
Blue83
502629.3
84622.8
85225.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10086020030040014683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.1
46.747.7
Auto14.6
Teleop11.9
End22.0
red by 19.3
5026
#17
29.30.0
29.629.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End18.2
Second
41.31.0
39.640.5
Auto11.9
Teleop11.0
End18.4
red by 15.4
852
#20
25.80.0
26.126.1
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End10.4
Third
6059
#16
3.41.1
1.52.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.1
End3.7
blue by 19.3
846
#9
22.80.0
23.123.1
Auto10.4
Teleop2.4
End10.0