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Quarterfinal 4-22021 CalGames
Red111
804834.8
281330.5
62387.0
Blue107
135116.6
543017.8
25324.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85570150200250300350111107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#7
34.80.9
35.0→35.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End13.8
red by 10.6
253
#12
24.21.2
23.0→24.2
Auto10.7
Teleop7.3
End6.2
Second
2813
#4
30.50.9
30.7→31.6
Auto12.4
Teleop9.5
End8.6
red by 12.7
5430
#8
17.81.3
16.5→17.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End7.3
Third
6238
#28
7.00.9
7.2→8.2
Auto5.0
Teleop-0.6
End2.7
blue by 9.6
1351
#26
16.61.3
15.3→16.6
Auto7.5
Teleop6.7
End2.4