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Red303
449955.1
973111.8
1690117.2
Blue284
186850.7
441498.1
291088.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322248100200300400500303284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.20.5
115.8116.3
Auto33.5
Teleop59.0
End24.7
red by 19.0
98.11.1
96.197.2
Auto24.2
Teleop45.7
End28.2
Second
973
#2
111.80.5
110.4110.9
Auto24.7
Teleop58.1
End29.0
red by 23.5
88.31.1
86.287.4
Auto24.9
Teleop40.2
End23.2
Third
4499
#18
55.10.5
53.854.3
Auto16.6
Teleop14.6
End23.9
red by 4.4
1868
#36
50.71.1
48.749.8
Auto18.9
Teleop16.7
End15.1