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Red320
449955.1
973111.8
1690117.2
Blue278
186850.7
441498.1
291088.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324252100200300400500320278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.20.9
116.3117.2
Auto33.5
Teleop59.0
End24.7
red by 19.0
98.10.9
97.298.1
Auto24.2
Teleop45.7
End28.2
Second
973
#2
111.80.9
110.9111.8
Auto24.7
Teleop58.1
End29.0
red by 23.5
88.30.9
87.488.3
Auto24.9
Teleop40.2
End23.2
Third
4499
#18
55.10.9
54.355.1
Auto16.6
Teleop14.6
End23.9
red by 4.4
1868
#36
50.70.9
49.850.7
Auto18.9
Teleop16.7
End15.1