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Red90
209643.7
703950.1
563526.6
Blue53
822327.9
193714.7
599032.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140790501002002509053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.6
49.448.8
Auto17.9
Teleop14.6
End17.7
red by 17.5
32.60.6
33.733.1
Auto14.3
Teleop8.7
End9.7
Second
43.70.6
43.042.4
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End19.4
red by 15.9
27.90.6
28.928.3
Auto11.1
Teleop4.8
End12.0
Third
5635
#11
26.60.6
25.925.2
Auto6.6
Teleop3.8
End16.2
red by 11.8
14.70.6
15.815.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End3.0