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Red139
209643.7
703950.1
563526.6
Blue56
822327.9
193714.7
599032.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1387705010015020025013956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.5
48.849.3
Auto17.9
Teleop14.6
End17.7
red by 17.5
32.60.5
33.132.6
Auto14.3
Teleop8.7
End9.7
Second
43.70.5
42.442.9
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End19.4
red by 15.9
27.90.5
28.327.9
Auto11.1
Teleop4.8
End12.0
Third
5635
#11
26.60.5
25.225.7
Auto6.6
Teleop3.8
End16.2
red by 11.8
14.70.5
15.214.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End3.0