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Red376
571539.6
1690115.6
333996.4
Blue116
599031.2
555455.4
706737.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2941180200400500600376116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.62.4
112.4114.9
Auto27.6
Teleop65.7
End22.3
red by 60.2
5554
#12
55.40.2
56.256.0
Auto19.1
Teleop15.5
End20.8
Second
96.42.4
93.295.6
Auto28.4
Teleop41.5
End26.5
red by 58.8
37.50.2
38.438.1
Auto9.9
Teleop7.3
End20.4
Third
5715
#16
39.62.4
36.438.8
Auto13.8
Teleop10.4
End15.4
red by 8.4
5990
#22
31.20.2
32.131.8
Auto11.6
Teleop9.9
End9.7